Record Highs Hit: US-Iran Détente Fuels Global Stock Surge Amid India's Measured Open

Record Highs Hit: US-Iran Détente Fuels Global Stock Surge Amid India's Measured Open

Record Highs Hit: US-Iran Détente Fuels Global Stock Surge Amid India's Measured Open​

The Indian benchmark indices are set for a cautious start on June 16, guided by early cues from the GIFT Nifty trading around 23,884.50, indicating a flat to negative session for domestic equities. However, this measured outlook follows a strong day for the market on June 15, as Sensex and Nifty closed sharply higher after easing geopolitical tensions drove investor sentiment.

Overnight Global Market Rally Driven by Geopolitical Shift​

Global markets experienced robust activity following the preliminary agreement between the United States and Iran to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This development prompted a surge in Western stock markets, coinciding with a notable decline in crude oil prices amid lessened inflation fears.

Wall Street witnessed significant gains as the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 468.77 points (0.92%) to finish at 51,671.03. The S&P 500 posted a solid gain of 122.83 points, reaching 7,554.29, while the Nasdaq Composite surged by 795.10 points (3.07%) to 26,683.94, marking its strongest one-day percentage gain since March 31.

Commodities and Currency Movements​

The news of the détente between the US and Iran had a positive effect on commodity prices. Gold gained after inflation fears were eased by the interim deal. Meanwhile, Brent crude rose 0.5%, approaching $84 a barrel after it saw its biggest drop in over two weeks previously.

The U.S. dollar held close to near 10-day lows as risk appetite increased due to the peace initiative. In Asian currencies, activity was mixed against the greenback. The Indonesian Rupiah emerged as the top performer, appreciating by 0.85%. Currencies like the Japanese Yen (+0.08%) and Thai Baht (+0.07%) also showed modest gains, while the Malaysian Ringgit registered the weakest performance in the pack, declining 0.16% against the dollar.

Domestic Performance and Institutional Flow​

Indian equities ended on a high note, with the Sensex climbing by 736.38 points (0.97%) to close at 76,264.33. The Nifty also saw gains, rising by 231.00 points (0.98%) to settle at 23,853.90.

The fund flow story showed a turnaround in institutional activity on June 15. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) switched roles, turning into net buyers and investing Rs 200 crore, following 13 consecutive sessions of being net sellers. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) continued their strong buying trend, injecting Rs 3,189 crore into Indian equities during the session.

Bond Market Stability​

The bond market remained relatively stable overnight as investor focus shifted to forthcoming central bank meetings in Japan and Australia. The yield on 2-year Treasuries was steady at 4.06%, while the yield on 10-year Treasuries stood at 4.47%.
 

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