India Services PMI Shows Moderate Growth, Rising Costs

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New Delhi, April 6 India's services sector growth momentum slowed to the softest pace in 14 months in March, mirroring the slowdown in new business intakes, a monthly survey said on Monday.

The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Services PMI Business Activity Index fell from 58.1 in February to 57.5 in March, amid the weakest increases in new business and activity since January 2025.

In the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) parlance, a reading above 50 means expansion, while a score below 50 denotes contraction.

"India's services sector remained in expansion in March, but growth momentum eased for a second consecutive month. Demand remained resilient, driven by new export orders, which rose to the greatest extent since mid-2024. As such, service providers' expectations for future activity remained positive," said Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC.

However, the services sector recorded quicker expansions in new export orders. Panelists noted gains from Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, the Americas, and the Middle East.

On the price front, selling charge inflation quickened to a seven-month high amid the steepest increase in input costs since June 2022. According to panel members, outlays on chicken, cooking oil, eggs, electricity, fish, fruits, fuel, labour, meat, and vegetables all rose since February.

"... Input cost inflation accelerated to its fastest pace since 2022, indicating that higher fuel, transport, and logistics costs are feeding into services," Bhandari said.

Of the four broad areas of the service economy monitored by the survey, the quickest increases in input costs and output charges were seen in Consumer Services and Finance & Insurance, respectively, the survey noted.

Regarding employment, the latest results showed a third consecutive monthly increase. Moreover, the pace of job creation was strong, the strongest since mid-2025, amid a pick-up in business confidence.

"Firms were at their most upbeat towards the outlook for output in close to 12 years. Optimism was pinned on hopes of an improvement in demand and market conditions. Advertising and better customer relations were also expected to bear fruit," the survey noted.

Meanwhile, the HSBC India Composite PMI Output Index fell from 58.9 in February to 57.0, indicating the weakest rate of expansion in nearly three-and-a-half years.

Composite PMI indices are weighted averages of comparable manufacturing and services PMI indices. Weights reflect the relative size of the manufacturing and service sectors according to official GDP data.

With new orders rising at softer rates among both goods producers and service providers, overall sales increased at the weakest pace since November 2023. Data implied that the slowdown was centred on the domestic market as international demand for Indian goods and services improved to the greatest extent in seven months.

Cost pressures across the private sector were at their most intense in just under four years. While services firms raised selling prices to a greater extent, manufacturers signalled the weakest uptick in two years. At the composite level, the rate of inflation was little changed from last month.

The HSBC India Services PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of around 400 service sector companies.
 

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The information provided is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Readers are advised to rely on their own assessment and judgment and consult appropriate financial advisers, if required, before taking any investment-related decisions.

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business confidence consumer services employment export orders finance & insurance gdp hsbc india services pmi india economy india services sector input cost inflation march 2025 new business activity purchasing managers' index (pmi) selling charge inflation service sector growth
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